– COP15 (Kopenhagen) een regelrechte ramp. Europa buitengesloten en onheus bejegend
– Zijn afwezigheid was een verstandige keuze (hij was nog geen president) want (zo is de indruk) hij had zich wel doen gelden.
– De multilaterale aanpak werkt niet, zal ook op de COP 16 (Cancun) niet werken. "Liever niet nog eens die horror film"
– Beter initiatieven van Europa, VS en China op te bouwen, te beginnen tijdens een bijeenkomst in Spanje (dit lijkt niet te zijn gebeurt).
De vraag is waarom Europa zich opzij laat schuiven. Maar zo zijn er meer vragen over de houding van Europa (nu in het kader van de onrust op de financiele markten).
1. (C//NF) Summary: The Ambassador discussed the Conference of Parties (COP) Conference in Copenhagen and Afghanistan with EU Council Permanent President Herman Van Rompuy over coffee December 23 after delivering the congratulatory letter (reftel) from President Obama. Van Rompuy called the Copenhagen Conference a disaster in which Europe was excluded and mistreated. He predicted Mexico COP 16 would be a disaster as well, and added that multilateral conferences would not resolve the climate problem. He proposed coming to an agreement between the EU and the United States during the possible upcoming U.S. – EU Summit in Madrid, and then approaching China to achieve a workable solution. On Afghanistan, Van Rompuy opined that no one in Europe believed in Afghanistan anymore. He said Europe was going along in deference to the United States; there must be results in 2010, or Afghanistan is over for Europe. End Summary.
Coffee with EU President Van Rompuy
2. (U) As instructed (reftel), I delivered the letter of congratulations from President Obama to new EU Council Permanent President Herman Van Rompuy on December 23. The meeting was arranged by his new Chief of Staff Frans Van Daele. I did not mean to engage in any substantive discussions nor enter into a domain better left to Ambassador Kennard. However, both Van Daele and Van Rompuy are friends of mine, and they invited me to have some coffee for about an hour. Given the holiday period, the EU Building was virtually empty and both men seemed to have time to spare. We first discussed many social pleasantries: moving to new office space, the holidays, and family.
Copenhagen was a disaster for Europe
3. (C//NF) Van Rompuy raised the recent COP 15 conference in Copenhagen, calling it an "incredible disaster." He was not angry, in the sense that he never seems angry, but he was as animated and as frustrated as I have seen him. He thought that Europe had been "totally excluded" and was "mistreated." He thought the only saving grace was that he was not there. Van Rompuy said, "had I been there, my Presidency would have been over before it began." He said he was criticized for not being present in Copenhagen, and added that he did not need to be there because he does not start in his new position until January 1. He thought it was a wise decision not to attend the conference despite the pressure.
4. (C//NF) I responded by saying that I had no idea what actually happened since I was not there, but offered that from the reports I was seeing, it looked more like a chaotic meeting had occurred rather than any decision to exclude Europe. But Van Rompuy did not give that explanation much credence, responding, "they could certainly have called Europe and told us to come."
5. (C//NF) Van Rompuy did seem to ascribe some blame to Europe. He said, "no one knows who to call: Merkel, Barroso, who knows who." He said he planned to take control of getting Europe on the same page. He mentioned that he had scheduled an informal EU meeting in February to discuss the economy, but he was now going to use the meeting to discuss Copenhagen in addition to the economy. He intends to get the EU lined up.
U.S. and EU Need to Talk Climate at Madrid
6. (C//NF) Van Rompuy said he has, "given up on Mexico City," with Van Daele calling the planned U.N. COP 16 meeting to be held there November to December 2010 "Nightmare on Elm Street 2," and stating, "who wants to see that horror movie again." Van Rompuy said, "multilateral meetings will not work." He indicated that Europe first had to get on the same page; then Europe had to meet with the U.S.; and finally they (I think he meant Europe and the U.S.) had to meet as well with China. Rather than waiting for a failure at Mexico City, he intends to address Copenhagen issues with the United States at Madrid; he envisioned engaging China thereafter. In his mind, talks with the U.S. would have to focus on Madrid and