Wind Energie Breekt Records

De winter is tot nu toe erg mild geweest, hoewel het weer vooral lastiger te voorspellen is met de opwarming van de polen. In ieder geval heeft dit al geleid tot een record productie van wind energie.

“The Platts Continental Power Index (CONTI) fell 0.4% in December 2013 to €46.80 per Megawatt hour (/MWh) compared to the November 2013 rate of €47.00/MWh, when calmer winds and colder temperatures suppressed wind power and boosted electricity prices. Year-over-year the index was up 8.8%.”

In de quote hierboven worden positieve prijzen voor energie genoemd, maar steeds vaker komt het voor dat prijzen negatief zijn. Dat betekent dat afnemers van de stroom GELD TOE krijgen, omdat de markt simpelweg geen behoefte heeft. Henk Kamp spreekt zich hier negatief over uit, en een niet oplettend publiek kan daar per ongeluk mee instemmen, met het resultaat dat onze kikkerlandpolitiek de standaard handhaaft “Energie mag goedkoop zijn, maar het mag niet gratis of zelfs overvloedig zijn”.

Zie ook : Omgaan met negatieve stroomprijzen en

Duits Wind Energie Surplus Leidt tot Negatieve Prijzen

Als iemand zo stom zou zijn om negatieve prijzen voor iets als iets onwenselijks te zien, dan kan nog worden gesteld dat deze kunstmatig zijn. De markt kan de stroom van de wind turbines echt wel accepteren, maar de kolen en gas gestookte centrales wensen hun productie niet terug te schroeven. Die kunnen dat eenvoudig doen (kern centrales iets minder makkelijk), en dus is het probleem kunstmatig. De hele energie markt is kunstmatig.

De complicerende factor is de monetaire stromen die met onze energie huishouding te maken hebben. Voor fossiele energie zijn die vanzelfsprekend, omdat voor die energie een hele keten nodig is, waarbij bij elke stap fossiele energie wordt verbruikt, die moet gekocht worden met het geld dat voor die stap wordt betaald.

Cheaper, better Technip turbines

Windenergie heeft momenteel geen valide monetaire context. Wel een kunstmatige, in de zin dat er geld (fossiele energie) wordt geinvesteerd als een turbine word gebouwd, en dat die energie wordt teruggeeist door de turbine energie voor een periode te verkopen. Maar als de turbine is afbetaald is er geen algemene regel om te bepalen wat de stroom moet kosten, behalve dat er vaak voor een marktprijs wordt gekozen. De enige echte kosten zijn die van het onderhoud van de turbines, en de soms belachelijk hoge heffingen op het gebruik van het netwerk.

Wind energie is net als kernenergie op den duur spot goedkoop. De strijd die wind nu vecht kan het niet winnen zolang de industrie het toestaat zich te laten kaderen in de fossiele energie markt. De goedkope stroom is namelijk wel waardevol, er kan tenslotte van alles mee geproduceerd worden. Door het geforceerd concureren met fossiel zouden wind projecten in de problemen kunnen komen, terwijl ze in feite een economische motor zijn.

De kadering ontstaat vooral door ‘economisch denken’ en het de aard van ons geld : fossiel krediet dat ook bij duurzame projecten wordt toegepast. De reden dat deze capture zich voortzet ligt in het nog niet breed uitgerold zijn van energie opslag voor electriciteit. Met die opslag (waarvoor in Duitsland extra geld is uitgetrokken) zou stroom met een negatieve prijs onmiddellijk worden opgeslokt door de opslag faciliteiten om deze op een later moment te verkopen.

Opslag van electriciteit (en warmte) maken echter een eind aan veel dure faciliteiten die de fossiele energiesector nodig heeft. Een stad met voldoende electriciteitsopslag hoeft geen enorme verbinding met centrales in een Europees net. Dus opslag is een directe bedreiging voor en zo’n net en de bijbehorende energiemarkt.

Iets om op te letten voor politici die verandering willen is of windturbines uit de greep van kredietverstrekkers raken. Het is heel makkelijk om een turbinepark eeuwig in de schulden te laten door regelmatige dure upgrades. Wat de verandering brengt is een windpark dat slechts met marginale kosten (onderhoud) vele Megawatts het net in stuurt en deze zeer productief aangewend ziet, dan wel verstandig geconsumeerd bv door huishoudens die het bij stroom opslaan en later gebruiken. Dan breekt wind misschien geen records meer, maar heeft het fossiele paradigma gebroken.

The Energy Price Rip-off Dilemma

In the UK the big energy companies stand accused of ripping off consumers at the tune of 4 Billion Pound. It is no secret the government is totally infiltrated with people from either the banking or energy sector, simply because those two sectors are so important in our fossil based economy.

“Toothless regulator Ofgem ‘can’t investigate’ claims energy giants skimmed £50 from every household in pricing scam”

“Big Six’ firms too close to ministers, says Ed Miliband”

We will read more of these type of newsitems in the near future. The reason being that banking is losing grip over the energy sector, and tries to regain it by letting the public fleece it’s financial position. Even if you are enraged by the high prices or a 50 Pound scam perpetrated on you, you will be doing the bankers job and not what you need to do to help yourself to a better future.

“The so-called big six – British Gas, SSE, Eon, EDF, npower and Scottish Power – paid £4 billion more for power than the market rate by buying energy produced in their own power stations, according to shadow energy secretary Caroline Flint.”

The force field between politics, banking and energy is one that always drives us to a worse outcome. This is because banks and energy companies can provide immediate solutions to the needs of people, and politicians can’t have a carreer if they do not meet those needs, the sooner the better. Hardship can only be dealt to those that are irrelevant voters, or if it really needs to happen, for some reason of constructive sacrifice. Of course the sacrifice never serves anyone else but the banks and energy companies. It can’t simply because sacrifice is unproductive, only be producing more we get into a better position.

There is never a rip-off if you get something you can not produce yourself. Don’t want to get ripped off? Produce your own energy!

When one tries to keep the old energy producers in power it serves well to have discussions about irrelevant topics. One of them is the taxes and subsidies for fossil companies. One would think these are relevant discussions, depowering the fossil energy sector by taking their cash, but it isn’t unless that cash is never spend. If it is it will be spend on fossil energy, and end up with the fossil energy companies anyway. The way to turn the energy supply to one that knows no scarcity is to force banks to invest in them, or by adopting specific currencies to separate out fossil fuel credit, labour credit etc (See Euro Auro Joule).

Better not rage about ripoffs, but focus on real wealth production factors

The discussion needs to turn away from money and towards real produtivity, quota, tonnages and reserves of vital commodities. This way production, the determinant of our wealth can be monitored without bias or extraneous control, and technologies can be applied that will secure it and consolidate it in strategically invulnerable ways. With renewables that can be easy.

Switching away from fossil requires laws combining simultaneous changes in the credit and energy sectors

Of course there is another agenda, which is to push energy companies to part with their gas faster, so shale gas from the US and UK (UK made a 20 year deal for the insanely polluting crap) will be introduced causing an economic boom, damaging the UK environment but benefitting the financial sector. You say an economic boom is good, we say a wealth increase is good and economics is fundamentally incapable of delivering secure wealth.

http://www.theguardian.com/business/2013/oct/10/sse-raises-prices-average-annual-bill

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/big-six-energy-firm-bosses-2654687

Categories
cars ev solar

Solar Powered Cars

Ford will come out with a car with solar panels integrated in the roof. It is a nice gesture and it will increase the visibility of solar panels, but also a risk because it seems to claim such panels are somehow enough to make it run.

Of course cars can run on panels, if it is sunny enough and the car is specialized to do so. This is the idea of the (sHell sponsore) Solar Challenge. There are even solar challenge car designs for the public road.

Efficiency is not an issue with renewables, as it is not an issue with fossil fuels. Car engines convert about 15% of the energy in gasoline into forward motion, and that gasoline itself cost gasoline to get it into the car. This makes the efficiency of a car a screaming example of insanity compared to the low loss convesion of solar energy in electrical motors or stored in batteries.

anyone can make a car 

The output of a solar panel, usually light that would not be used in any other way, is stored with about 15% loss in a battery. It is used with the same loss in an electric motor. Storing solar electricity in hydrogen (as was the industy’s suggestion) always implies a 50% loss when converting it back to electricity again, as well as losses from compression and cooling, not to speak of the manufacturing of the storage tank. But hey, it’s economical (meaning it generates a lot of cashflow)!


reaches 88,5 km/h strictly come solar..

Truly solar cars are not actually necessary, we can have NH3 powered cars, which is like having diesel cars without the soot or CO2. Several wind projects have aimed to produce NH3 as a usefull liquid fuel, but usually these projects get killed or dragged out to prevent farmers from smelling freedom, check out Freedomfertilizer ! Making NH3 out of wind means some loss of energy, but the wind is free, and it is a great way to utilize so called ‘stranded wind’, wind turbines the energy company charged to much to connect them to the grid..

Of course the best is to improve public transport and build homes close to the workplace. But in our economy that is discouraged in favour of making sure people work in offices and use a car to get there. That sells gasoline, office furniture, office real estate and keeps people from realizing their office job could be done as efficient at home or not at all 😉

Categories
diseaster fossil tarsand

Another Oil Train Explosion

Officials received a report at 2:12 p.m. of a train derailing about a mile west of Casselton, a city of 2,432 people about 20 miles west of Fargo, Morris said.

Fiery images of an oil train exploding in Noth Dakota. Trains are not safe enough, and often drive unmanned over tracks that have not had proper maintenance. With the accident in Lac-Megantic in Quebec fresh in memory it seems time to start thinking about stopping oil transports, and switching to renewables. Of course instead the debat is directed towards building more pipelines as the use of North Dakota oil is increasing.

Great for your real estate values

These images can become more deadly, but only show a fraction of the actual destruction oil brings to lives today and in our future. Politics in the US is however drowned in oil, and so this type of accident will reoccur as long as there’s oil/tar/coal or gas to extract.

The cost of one barrel of oil increases in the mean time. Not in dollars necessarily, because the price is set based on the the money available in the economy, but in terms of fossil fuels. Tar sand extraction can use 2,170 cubic feet of natural gas per barrel so before you burn it, a lot of fuel has already been burned. The trick here is that this cost is never to much, as long as you can keep the supply going. The trap of fossil fuels is that the producers will never find their feul cost to high as long as they can still extract it, it is after all either using the free fuel or halting operations and having nothing.

As the dependency on oil, or money to have access to it, as well as the shortage of both at the moment creates a competition for the resource, oil companies don’t have to worry about going out of business. They can simply abuse the dependence as drug dealers can abuse a heroin addict looking for a fix. The only way out is to create renewable alternatives to these fuels, so people start feeling there is an exit that is painless and final. These accidents should help us drive support for ‘exit strategies’ and we should not allow it to be used to consolidate the position of fossil fuels.

Categories
democracy privacy

“All your devices are belong to us!!”

NSA turns out to have been cooperating with major tech companies to create backdoors for spying. This includes most network manufacturers. They keep a catalog of the products they can supply with a backdoor. Recently the phone tapping and storage of metadate by the NSA has been judged to be legal and valuable to fight terrorism. Well, if that argument comes back from high court the game is up for US civil society.

“A document viewed by SPIEGEL resembling a product catalog reveals that an NSA division called ANT has burrowed its way into nearly all the security architecture made by the major players in the industry “

This might all seem irrelevant, but it has great impact on the fight for renewables. The US is run by fossil fuel which speaks through its policies and slow adoption of more safer energy sources. The country  (combined with Canada) is really a power block for the dependence on fossil fuel. The fight agains renewables also takes the shape of buying up innovative companies, moving them to the US or Canada and letting them lanquish if they threaten the status quo. The NSA has been selling and offering services to the big US corporations. Do you think this will have had an effect on the succes of renewables? Only companies with large cash positions can move freely, one example is Google building their own Ivanpah solar towers.

Ivanpah
Songs in the key of Awsome : Ivanpah

If every hub and swith, every desk phone and so on has an NSA backdoor (the hackability of desk phones has already been established and was never prevented in earnest) this means European tech companies, if they are not already fully financially transparent to the US, may also have been leaking knowledge to whomever was interested. This has helped the US pro fossil fuel agenda, in fact, it is questionable if there would be spying if the primary energy source in the US was solar.

This is all good news for the environment, jobs and technology, as it will lead to more purchasing and more investment in security in Europe. The trust is devestated, anyone with a brain of any value will try to avoid US technology. What’s next, Apple inc proves to be a total NSA whore as well?

 

 

Migrating Serendipity to WordPress

A quick post on migrating all posts from a Serendipity site to a new WordPress install. It seems a daunting task, but WordPress has triggers that set fields automatically. If one is happy to ignore categories and tags for a moment the steps are simple :

If you allow WP to create its tables in the same database as where the serendipity tables reside, below query will copy the post into WP.

insert into `wp_posts` (post_title,post_content,post_date,post_author) select title post_title, body post_content , FROM_UNIXTIME( TIMESTAMP ) post_date,1 from serendipity_entries where 1;

Try it with limit 0,1 at the end first (copies only one line). You don’t need to empty the posts table.

Categories can be added with extra queries, but can also be added based on searches like ‘insert –select where post_content like ‘%[search term]%”

Categories
cryptocurrency

The Birth of Time in Cyberspace

Cyberspace is still growing at impressive speed. The growth of wired and wireless networks and the growth of the number of devices that can be connected by the ip protocol is keeping its pace. In many cases countries that gained their own oil and/or independence of the US can step over innefficient means to connect and go for fiber or mesh networks right away. Most western homes now have more computers, ipads, phones, cameras. All this proliferation was driven by the need to sell oil, and it has not stopped yet.

But there are problems with the net, especially when it concerns privacy, (apart from the biggest one that is that humans are being automated by the internet, while it should be machines!) or, the real issue commercialized data. Privacy can be protected by encryption, but authorities don’t like private encryption intiatives. The US clamped down (mean stopped/broke up) several private encryption initiatives recently. Leading developers are going in hiding or sell their business to avoid being arrested under the new terrorism laws (that basically turned the US in a random dictatorship). Of course encryption can be and is used by criminals to plan and direct their actions in privacy, and for now (because of the lack of local autonomy in the developed world) central government is the better option.

Enter cryptocurrencies. They present as their core functionality peer to peer serially encryption of transaction data and democratic verification of the produced ‘block chain’. What the clients in these networks do is weave data into the block chain, and select the chain to start their weaving with based on verification from other peers. That way, if the peers remain connected, there is only one valid chain, only one valid ledger of accounts. Only one reality.

The cryptocurrency block chain has a brother in cyberspace, one that has been around for a number of years already, called Twitter. Twitter is almost the polar opposite of a block chain cryptocurrency in that it is 100% public and affords no privacy whatsoever. Twitter doesn’t let you send a token, almost a real bit of information (you either send it or you dont) to any anonymous reciever, it aims/allows to compress as much information as possible in 140 characters, and send it to EVERYONE at the same time, with little anonimity.

Both cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Twitter however do one inportant rather new thing : They produce Time. Twitter does it based on it’s hardware infrastructure, its databases have timestamps, up to the second, and for each tweet the time is recorded. The integrity of time is key for Twitter to function. Twitter also creates time because of the impact of tweets and the connections between twitterers. If all the tweets where mixed up you could still build temporal progression based on the retweets (also because the records state the event of one person tweeting to another) and the use of the meme. Handed a dataset of tweets without a timestamp, time could be constructed, it is not implicit.

Looking at other cyber data systems time is mostly abcent. A database has records with timestamps, we, humans order them. We can change the timestamps to fool other people. The databases don’t care, don’t know and have no intrinsic mechanism to treat data that was entered later differently from data that was entered before. Time in computers comes about because of the clock (duh!), but time in the clock comes about because of a physical change between at least two states. Not abstract states, but real electrons going back and forth, in resonance with a piezo electric crystal being charged and discharged, a usually icehockey ring shaped metal component on the board, close to the CPU. Without those little components made of calcium no cyberspace. Time to CPUs is a engimatic as it is to humans. It can not observe it on its own, but it could not observe at all if it didn’t exist.

Time is not a dimension (this is this authors finding). It is a result of the interaction between particles. These interactions happen because energies are not distributed so as to avoid them (a photon travels, an electron flows, an molecule vibrates) and the always result in less complexity, or entropy in the system as a whole. Time means an increase in entropy. Entropy and it’s increase is juse another way to say time and it’s progression. Entropy can not decrease, and time can not reverse. For the real abstract thinkers there’s this riddle : If time moved backwards, how would we know? Like the CPU we can’t truely observe time, we can’t step out of our reality, and like a CPU we would not know if it run forward or backward. But we digress…

Twitter introduces time to cyberspace, but not as fundamentally as cryptocurrencies do, even if we don’t recognize it yet. Cryptocurrencies are, as the name suggest, cryptographically driven currencies. And cryptography is the art of hiding information in chaos. It is the art of creating a extremely selective high entropy for the reciever, and zero entropy for everyone else. The link between entropy and information is a very old one (in computer science terms). Information theory, the theory of data transmission, should be about bits and bytes. But data transmission does not occur in a vacuum, it occurs in copper wires, glass fiber, through the ether in between and through all kinds of real world. The question fundamental to information theory is how to separate the real world from the data. How do I know what I listen to is a signal, or noise. Where does the noise come from? From any process. Noise in information theory is similar to heat in thermodynamic theory.

Encryption is a process whereby information is changed in (at least) two components : Something that looks like noise and a key. The key instructs an algorithm that reconstructs the information out of the noise (that isn’t really noise, but looks like it). Because it is a lot of work to reconstruct the information without the key, entropy will increase siginficantly when people try it. As a result the encrypted data represents an increase in entropy, except for the people with the key. What cryptocurrencies do is create a reality that constantly increases entropy to the people outside it. Say you have 10 litecoins in your account. That information is encrypted. Now only the people with the key can access that information. Nobody without a key can, or only at a very high cost. With the key you see the data, without it you see noise. The people with the key carry their data from block to block, so that even in their own network data is sealed within increasing layers of entropic ‘protection’. One has to calculate to verify the data, to retrace the encryption steps, imagine the work without the keys…

The block chain thus introduces time for the ledger data and for the users of cryptocurrencies, time independent of the databases or computers or the network the data exists in. Time as a result of the cryptographic specific increase of entropy, only allowing one peer to peer reality. Twitter doesn’t have this type of time at it’s core, call it virtual time. It could have. The implications are that internet and data can now start  behaving in new ways, because even to itself there is now only one reality, one with a real immutable progression of time.

Soon we will see that companies that want to record time, that need it in some real sense, will submit data to a block chain, cryptocurrency like mechanism, the data will be weaved in the block chain and it will become extremely hard to fake it, to deny it. It wil be verifiable but not falsifiable. Better than a notary or database or stone tablets. In terms of work it would be like writing it on a piece of paper, locked in a pyramid the size of mars. Block chain encryption is here to stay, and it will change cyberspace. How? Time will tell. (can also be read at cryptoportfolio.nl)

Comfortable Capturing Mythology : Economics

One can check many news sources, some with clear political agendas like the BBC, some with counterintelligence agendas like Alex Jones, some with asset pumping agendas, like Max Keiser to name a tiny few. The pervasive philosophy that is transmitted is based on economic free market theory, with concepts like debt, GDP, investment. A few will talk about other systems, like Bitcoin, a virtual digital currency that has recently exploded on the scene, or talk or be part of an intentional community, a cashless society (not meaning that all money is 100% virtual).

All these opinions are cute. They may not get along at times, but one really is no threat, much sooner a precondition for the other. A country has to have an aggressive oil based military industry to protect all the people that want to have alternative lifestyles. You need a fossil based banking system to make Bitcoin work (not forgetting a fossil fuel based energy infrastructure). It is amazing what diversity can be achieved without changing the fundamental dependence on a fossil fuel based banking system. The reason for this is simple : Economics.

Economics as most people understand it (and it is intentionally complex and intrinsically counterintuitive) is about finding valuable investments. It is about book keeping on a country by country, continental and global scale. It is about equitable exchange of goods and services between people, to their mutual benefit. It is a pretty myth, in fact only a salespitch for fossil fuels.

So if kids in India glue your shoes together and can scrape a rupee as they damage their nervous system that is fair to you who pays 80 Euros for them? Can’t you glue shoes? Would it not make more sense to give your local shoe maker a job than kids locked in basements, or girls saved from prostitution? Even then, what happens between the 4 Euro your shoe costs and the 80 Euro you pay? Why should all these intermediaries make so much money? Still worse is that cheaper shoes can also be bought, but they are painfull to wear, so someone has been glueing their butts off in some toxic sweatshop and the result is hated.

Of course the resulting product is sold not at it’s price but at what the average consumer can spare in his/her budget. Its price conforms to the perception of value because profit is a major goal in economics. Profit means the extraction of money over and above the amount needed to run the business, making money more scarce and driving people into debt. More profit means more people need banks. Its a power thing see. 

Although the result of fossil fuel based economics in the short termis positive, the long term effects are devestating, ones we are now faced with around the world. It is no surprise that the denial or deminishment of global warming reality runs across all things financial, bar perhaps marginal green investment initiatives that allow the generation of a lot of credit (used to sell oil) or turn out to be devestating to the environment and habitat of endangered species, like soy and palm oil plantations. Can Europe feed its cattle? Sure! But let’s get it in Brazil, so it makes the GM, shipping, farming fertilizing, clear cutting etc people good clients of the oil companies. Even the massive protests against deforistation mean massive sales of feul to airlines and what not. If everything runs on fossil fuels, every movement will mean better business.

The problem is that our mythology, what we believe about economics, is wrong. How is it wrong? Why doesn’t it work? What is not true about an investment cycle that is part of a network of supplying companies all adding to the ‘economy’? Of course the answer can’t feel like a real answer, or we would already feel like our economies are hairtriggerable death traps. The answer is dead simple : The fuel supply. It is almost never an issue. It is never adressed as such. Economics is not about the fuel supply, it is soley about the rate of fuel consumption. That is because economics is about selling fuel (but we already stated that).

How can you speak of a viable strategy to run billions of lives if you know for a fact two things : The fundamental resource needed (fossil fuels) to run it is running out, and the use of fossil fuels is causing the dissapearance of almost everything you need to keep going, at a growing rate and ever more fundamental level. We are losing the chemical conditions for life in our oceans for instance.

Attacking mainstram mythology is a cardinal sin. If you choose to do so you will interfere with the trust of so many that it could lead to a revolt. The highest figures in society, carefully groomed to spout specific nonsense most convincingly are of course wrong. But we would not even have such central figures if it wasn’t for fossil fuels. We would have no media and consumer culture  if it wasn’t for fossil fuels. Even with thousands of wind turbines and solar panels all around we still think about them in economic terms. How much do I make with them. Money is the key, because money is our only way to access those things produced on the other side of the globe.

The series The Dome show our reality. We have cars, but not for long if we exhausted the local fuel station and could not reach any other. This seems such a practical and insignificant problem, perhaps because even when it happens, or a region is cut of off fossil fuels for a while, you won’t hear from these people except perhaps see shots of rescue choppers bringing in supplies. True fuel cuttoffs are usually reported as economic downturns, the eggs dissapear, what happened to the chicken is ignored. Also, usually when a country has to make due with less fossil fuels, it descends in to chaos and war. We have seen this in Egypt and Lybia recently, the Lybian situation being a oil grab, the Egyptian something similar. Poverty in Egypt was driven up because the US inflated the value of the dollar, pushing the country off the the international oil market for which it is a supplier!

We are just seeing the total surrender of Venezuela, selling its oil and gold to the US now that Chavez is dead. We are seeing the surrender of Iran, abandoning its plans for nuclear energy making it impossible for it to protect it’s reserves, which it was already selling to China anyway. Great news for all those young Iranians that can now enjoy the (expected legal) revenues of Irans oil and gas to buy products from around the globe! Due to millions of years of carefull photosysthesis and decay economics remains sound as long as you can pop the lid of ever more fossil fuel deposits, or last long enough to pressure others in making reserves available to you (the function of the canadian tar sands). 

There is so much at stake for the people keeping this economic mechanism alive, and so many do so without seeing they are mere salesmen and women for fossil fuel companies, that almost nobody thinks about whether it is the most we can get out of our planet. Whether we are not suffering in many ways without reason, because  the energy we threaten lives for and make our lives depend upon is but a fraction of the energy we could exploit if we choose to enable ourselves to do so at the cost of economic principles. We can eliminate energy cost and as a result of that all cost from society by adopting renewable energy as the only source of energy. We don’t have to stop at 100% of our current energy use, we can easily go on to harvesting 15000% of what we use today. In doing that we will eliminate the need for much cashflow and therefore eliminate the need for a large part of our ‘economy’. 

People rather live in their myths, suffering and competing over the use of a dwindling reserve of totally unnecessary fossil fuels than abandon them to taste the wealth and abundance of renewables, solar, wind, wave and geothermal under a non economic model, one that does divide resources on markets, but one that doesn’t maximize the utility of fossil fuels like our present one. For that to happen we need to purpose fossil fuels primarily to achieving replacing renewables, and renewables to replace renewables.

Using the mechanism of economics as we understand it now will never work, and will surely not work fast enough. If you expect all renewables to be made with fossil fuels you are introducing a limiting factor as well as suggesting we make a choice between renewable sources, because obviously one of them is has the best multiplier (relative to fossil invested). Anything else would mean a loss of future wealth. Look for renewables to make your renewables and you remove the limit of fossil fuels, you no longer have to ask for the use of fossil fuels, and you are free to produce the renewable energy sources of your choice. Economics will never suggest this option. There’s no money in it. 

Trust Systems

The highest cost on our societies is that of distrust. Distrust is economic to a point, namely to where it leads to war. War can be economic, but also to a point, namely where the fighting parties become unbalanced, where people get serious about winning. But back to distrust. If we trusted our neigbour with all our tools we could share them, and we would not buy them each individually. This goes for many things we could share. However there is a clear reason for distrust in some cases, namely where it concerns things we have been doing egoistically before we had societies with all its complex dependencies. Clearly there are places in our lives where trust could be increased to drive down cost, and places where we will never trust everyone or even our closest friends to have influence.

NSA 

Because a large part of our economy depends on distrust we are exposed to reasons to distrust on a daily basis. Crime is everywhere, fraud is everywhere, relationships are not reliable, the economy is a sickly child. All this leads people to buy more stuff and be anxious inbetween. You want to build a fence around your house, a gate at the end of your street. Of course the politics of the right is all about creating demons and foes and a societal risk that creates reasons to justify investment in more gates, prisons etc. Also because these investments create a rightless underclass that can certainly perform usefull services.

Trust systems are systems that increase trust. They are not systems of reckless trust. We see an explosion in those systems due to right wing politics, which is about keeping the fossil fuel valorisation cycle going (between banks and fossil fuel companies). The idea is that anything that diverts us from fossil fuel dependence is terrorism. Primarily countries that want to sell their oil on their own terms are terrorist nations, if not then maybe some people in those countries get together and form an Al Quaida cell to try to achieve the same, and are branded terrorists.

At home people that do not want to participate in the carboncredit economy, organic farmers, communities etc. are targeted by goverments that are populated by politicians that know their carreer will be set when they serve the interests of fossil fuel. The model we are tranding towards was described by Max Keiser as the casino gulag society, which means you either consume but have to gamble at every step, or you produce, and work in a dead end job in a captive environment. Your life is no more than tool to serve the lives of more fortunate and less empathic people. This all gets real creepy real fast, no surprise if you create two classes of people. It is a simple rule that people only love their own tribe, and don’t really care about the lives of individuals outside it, that’s the way it has been for as long as  humans exist. Humaism, human rights is not an identity promoted by the right, so they are not a member of that ‘universal tribe’ that could make everyone on earth love each other enough to not want to exploit or destroy their existence. 

Like with all systems we see today trust systems are top down while they should be created bottom up. The should help hand over trust to people without the aid of computers, not work to make people dependent on computers. Once you trust computers you have become an extention of them, and you will follow orders from whoever controls the computer, or even worse, from nobody but the person making the rules. If those rules are made by an oxigen deprived right wing fossil fuel lakey the world will eventually look like a nightmare.

The alternative is not to join hands and circle the world singing kumbaya, it is not living in a communist community (or intentional) although those things don’t do any harm in itself. The communist philosophy led to a totalitarian state, very similar to the casino/gulag model mentioned above. The similarity that is the cause in both cases is lack of ownership. In the communist model the state owns everything, in our present economy the banks own everything. Even if they own 80% or 60%, that gives them leverage to influence any transaction that occurs if they have to. Of course their intent is to have power but make people think they do not, the best defence is preventing/not evoking an attack.  

From the above one can deduce that we think ownership is the road to bottom up trust. It makes sense, because who do you trust primarily? Yourself. Secondarily the people you interact with, the things you use to do stuff. Of course also the law, the police? But trust in the ability of others grows as you observe them handling themselves well. Real trust is only local, and it trust has to exist on a wider scale the impression of being neat is one of the first requirements, neat, boring, well behaved. Like a banker.

Instead of building trust systems in the digital realm, in voice and visual recognition, tracking and attempts to predict behaviour we should reintroduce it to the physical realm, the personal space of people. This requires them to be owners, to be productive in a sense that others depend on it. This is against the trend of centralizing production, which makes economic sense (it increases the fossil fuel burden of bread production chain). Of course as we make this move we also introduce renewable energy so we can have our local ownership and production independently of centralized distribution of energy.

The top down trust systems could be watching a small team that plans to blow u a bus, or a similar team intending to sink a container ship in the Strait of Hormuz. There’s a difference. One affects consumer confidence, tourism and a few hundred lives (depending also on the coverage). The other can throttle the world economy on a massive scale. The latter is the reason for the gigantic investment in trust systems. Keeping American (banker)s Safe. Homeland security and the NSA/PRISM are both a profitable enterprise and the guardians of the top down carbon credit system. It keeps making sense only if you assume that the driver is to continuously sell fossil fuels. Suppose the US powered itself (as it could) from solar power plants on unused federal land then who cares what happens in the Middle East, blow it up if you want! 

EU deal would give companies the same rights as nation states 

Today governments are realizing more and more how these top down trust systems themselves become tools to achieve financial gain. Tools for industrial espionage. This is not fiction but fact, as a study of the University of Bath showed most multinationals employ semi legal intelligence services from the likes of Blackwater/Xe/Academia. This includes Shell, Exxon, Starbucks etc. The NSA is rumoured to sell info to the highest bidder. The attack on private encryption services is a fact. Nobody should be able to communicate in private except the US and its industry? It’s no surprise if you realise that most governors are very rich and can legally speculate on Wallstreet with insider information. Its not a government, but an legal buffet.

That is another reason to localize trust by localizing ownership. It makes the fuckups less dangerous. As scientist advised the russians to weld the ICBM silos shut to introduce a delay of about 10 minutes in their lauch sequence, to cover immense risk of false alarms and accidental lauches, so the localization of trust is a failsafe against people unable to be humbled by their power. The Cheneys of this world may be succesfull using the principe ‘You ain’t got power unless you use it’, they don’t belong in their positions. There should not have been an atom bomb, or a military industrial complex. The fear of centralized power is old, even Bismark worked for a long time to prevent the armies of the german states to unite, fearing war would be the inevitable result (what is such an army going to do but feel superior and start a war?).

If you don’t want people to do something, take away the instruments, the opportunity. If you want them to change change reality. If you want to trust them ask yourself ‘with what?’. A gun? Don’t make guns. A bomb? Don’t give them the chance to contemplate it. Relax them, give them ownership of their environment, create abundance using renewable energy, remove the fossil fuel drive from their economies. Top Down Trust Systems are not a solution to a problem, instead they are a safeguard the problems persist, because they secure an economic system that creates the problems. The price of acting on that insight is loss of (carbon credit) economic opportunity, and that is why we need renewable energy to dominate to get rid of it.

Understanding the New Game

One of the great methods of stifling discussion about solutions in terms of our fossil industrialized economies is to suggest that the end game means the end. Usually someone defending the position that there are not solutions will try to make the imagination stall at the point where we see a desert of cars jamming in front of exhausted gas stations, starving population due to no logistics, the pain of economic interdependence decending on the helpless people with all the wrath it was designed to have by economists.

But such a strategy is like arguing for suicide as the sun goes down. It will be a dark place soon, give up, can’t you see? The sun goes down!! It is an insult to the most basic intelligence, and it is a testament to the intellectual capture capacity of economics and it’s wardens that such bullshit flies even in the highest places. But then again, those places are high : on fossil fuels..

Today most people on earth do not really participate in an economy, not one expressed in the GDPs of our planet. That is because those people live purely of renewable resources, the land, the sun, the rain, the plants, animals, like living soul did for millenia until coal, gas and oil where discovered. It is the hight of arrogance that anyone could improve on the abundance of natural agriculture. But it seems that the salespeople of the fossil fuel industrialization had the power to seduce people, first with real improvements in products and life quality, but later with (admittedly enjoyable) ubiquitous nonsense, weakness and wrong guidance. Wrong if you want to be secure, right if you want to sell fossil fuels.

The new game is about the same wealth, actually thousands of times that wealth, to be achieved by using the technology we had the ability to develop thanks to fossil fuels. Consider the 20th century as the stepping stone to eternal health, wealth and prosperity for those around to ejoy it. Whether such Utopia will actually come to pass depends on the ability of people to grasp the new game. It seems a reasonable number of people have that ability.

We can all see parts of the new game advocated and advertised, demonstrated and offered in many ways, but not in the key way necessary for it to commence. Yes, we have solar panels, but the reward we get for it levels the value of solar electricity with that of gas generated electricity. The gas price is arbitrary. Regarding our electricity, we don’t know the value of it. We don’t know how our solar panels add to wealth, ours of other peoples. Even if it is less we are not made aware of this, we rarely think clearly about the production that provides us our wealth. Yes, we can eat organically grown food, but we all lean on a basis of highly fossil fuel intensive food production chain. Who owns land? Next to nobody. Even in your small garden you can experience that owning land means having to pay less for food. Your own vegetables are your labor plus the sun’s energy, the wind carrying the rain from the ocean or lake, the organism in the earth storing the nitrogen and many other selfish and competing participants. Where do you think the metaphors of economics come from? It is after all only a fossil fuel marketing strategy.

The new game will maximize the utility of renewable energy resouces, just like our present economy maximizes the utility of fossil fuel resources. The big difference is that we will own the renewable energy resources, or they will be owned by our communities, so we get to make credit and distribute it in a much more local economy to those that use it to produce products and services or simply consume it. We will run the bank, because we own the credit sources : the energy sources. 

Will we compete globally or even as citizens of a country for these renewable energy sources? Not really, because not everyone can use them. Electricity travels only at it’s own cost. So naturally a wind turbine can best serve its direct neighborhood. In Holland one powerplant of the total of about 40 runs continuously only to cover the losses of pretending there’s no cost to transporting electricity. 

Will we worry about the abundance of renewable energy? No. there is not real limit, not if you use renewable energy to produce the energy sources. You can have exponential growth of the number of solar panels, if you create a production chain driven by solar electricity. This is growth at NO cost. You can have no such growth an NO cost with the use of fossil fuels, in fact, you will have a constant battle for credit and the ongoing spectacle of creative destruction screwing the chances of ever feeling convinced solar is the way to go. We have had a demonstration of exactly that for the past 30 years. Don’t think Spain wasn’t ready for solar towers in 2001 or 1986, but it was playing its card in the old game. It is the same game that still threatens them : there’s a plan to shut down pefectly productive solar power plants so more gas is sold to  gas powered powerplants so the owners of recently build gas pipelines can meet their loan payments!! 

The new game will be the last game we play. Ever. It will be the ultimate game, and it will last for recorded time. When the last sentient being on earth expires, then the new game will have ended. Perhaps you need some time to let that ideas sink in. If not our generation, the next, if not the next generation, the one after that, and if not the one after the next generation one that comes later. But eventually, perhaps on a barren nearly dead planet, the people will start tapping the sun, wind and waves outside a fossil fuel economy, meaning their path to complete restoration towards a healthy prosperous and abundandly alive planet will be chosen, and some hunderds of years later nobody will know how close to extinction humanity came. It does not matter, because with the abundance of renewables you can live under a glass dome together with millions, even if it sounds rediculous there’s is enough power to do that. 

So if you hear some smart person claiming renewables are to expensive, you know the deal. Yes, if you have to ask the distributors of fossil fuel whether you can use their resouces to create a competitior, diminishing their power (because you don’t need either money or fossil fuels), don’ t be surprised they will say ‘no’. But that does not mean the new game isn’t real, or that the 6500 times more wealth one can achieve based on renewables is not achievable, it’s just that the cooperation of either fossil fuel suppliers or banks will be close to zero. The best initiative is to make renewables self sustaining, and one step of the way towards such a reality is to make sure there is enough renewable energy to start with.  Germany leads the way, but if one considers geothermal energy is almost everywhere (ignore the price), we can all follow. We can change the game.