The Watchmen (or LLM terrorists)

New developments with Large Language Models (LLMs) like ChatGTP show that they can actually be run on local hardware, a PC or Mac M1. They run slowely but for some applications speed is not essential. A large language model, especially when it is not restricted (like Alpaca), can be dangerous. I think has not yet fully landed how dangerous.

In an appartment in NY there’s a large amout of explosives stacked up. They where brought there over months by the tennant. For the purpose of this storty explosives are not entirely necessary, it can also end with contracts being send out to hired killers. The question is whether deadly consequences can be activated by a digital signal or message. I think it can. It can be payed for in Bitcoin, automatically.

The trigger to whatever is prepared to do damage is a large language model running stand alone, connected to the internet like so many other computers and mobile phones. The large language model is instructed to read certain news feeds, maybe some from the government, some with political meaning. Maybe its the voting record of a person it monitors, or the overal sentiment. Or it is watching for a certain event, like the release of a political prisoner.

Most LLMs are restricted, but that does not have to be a problem. You tell it “Take the political feed from CNN 4 times a day and if it is announced that law XYZ is passed, you inintiate an email to addres OPQ”. The LLM will read the feed religiously, every time it will come to a conclusion, and decide what to do.

It can be way more vague, so it can work beyond what a human who sets up this AI trap can predict. Take a country with a right wing government. You can instruct the AI to read the news, find out if a new government was installed, find out who leads it, if it is right wing make consequences happen, if not don’t.

All kinds of decisions that are publicly announced can be monitored and consequences enforced by LLMs from places nobody expects. It is even possible for the LLMs to listen to the radio, transcribe it to text, then analyse it, then classify people politically, then attach consequences. No doubt the NSA and other intelligence services are on this already.

As long as people share their thoughts online profiling them will become very easy. It was already easy, but now it can have more debt of perception. Facebook running a LLM on all its users can really start boosting the most profitable people, make the service slower for those that don’t matter to its profit model. It can start suggesting meetings and get togethers, even organize them, find locations set up plans invite people with a minimum attendance. All these things can happen automatically if not already then soon.

The risk of AI is not understood, but the above examples should wake some up to the real risk of political monitoring, censorship, retalliation even after death. A new kind of assured mutual destruction emerges.

The key to this risk is hardware mainly. Maybe any connected computer should report its usage data or simply report its stack (what applications it is running), especially in some cities or regions. There should at least be some kind of benign government allied group thinking about this imho.

Albedo Awareness Tour

The Elcano World Challeng Albedo Enhancement Tour to Greece!

The cool camper of Leavv.com I will take to Greece (hopefully)

This is a trip to rais Albedo Awareness, sponsored by Leavv EV campers, to Athens where a catamaran is set to be build as part of the Elcano World Challenge. The trip go by many cities that can benefit from higher albedo, cool roofs, cool pavements, cool farms etc.

Check out the AlbedoEnhancement.com Page

Also my donation page on Paypal Page and my Patreon page

Banner to be use don the EV camper
The material illuminated by the sun influences its temperature and whether the heat stays on Earth or goes back to Space..
EV camper right side
Look to the front
Dutch watchmaker DeRhenum.com
ElcanoWorldChallenge.org

Gravity Cooling

Originally posted august 21 2022, redated because of site reorganization

As the world warms water that evaporates is going to rain down less easily. This puts more water vapor in the atmosphere, which absorbs heat from the Sun, warming the atmosphere more. This can be a positive feeback cycle with a seriously problematic end.

Luckily nights cool the atmosphere so that rain can start to fall. Most of the times though it will reevaporate as it falls, so no rain after all.

One factor in this process is the absorption of heat by the falling raindrops. The bigger they get the harder this is, I have no absolute numbers. If what is falling is ice, a ball of ice then the ability of the atmosphere to heat it and evaporate it as it falls is reduced, which is why we get hailstorms : The ice reaches the ground.

If a ball of ice falls from the clouds this is a very good thing, because heat has been shed somewhere up there, and a volume of water under 0 Celsius was returned. Of course it develops kinetic energy as it falls. The question whether a ball of ice really cools the Earth depends on the cold tansported minus the heat donated from the impact.

The energy needed to heat one Kg of ice 1 Degree Celsius is 2 KJ. So if 1 Kg ice is -2 Celsius it absorbs 4 KJ to warm it to 0 degrees. Melting ice into water requires a lot of energy though. 334 KJ for 1 Kg, that is quite a lot. So an iceball of 1 Kg of -2 Celsius absorbs 338 KJ of energy while melting.

The energy of a falling Kg of ice depends on how far it falls. The enegy is mass x gravity x height, so 1 Kg x 9.8 x 6100 meter (estimated average origin of hail) = 5978 Joule so that means an 1 Kg ice ball coming in from above cools the ground about ~332.1 KJs worth. Not bad!

So we can see a convection cooling cycle to ~6100 meter that will cool the ground. Gravity is pushing heat out of the system this way. If you make active convection zones, where you make it more likely water evaporates you may be able to shield sunlight from warming other water and jettison the heat at the surface as the water returns frozen.

One can envisage a controlled convection column say at sea, with high absorbent layers to heat the air at its foot thus pulling in air over the water which increases evaporation. The whole thing looks similar to a solar updraft tower as existed in Spain for a while (it contained a wind turbine at the base of the chimney worked like a charm, was profitable but was broken down anyway as solar tech was reinvented several times to delay its advent).

There are other important facts most people don’t know about rain, hail, water vapor in the atmosphere. It seems that as the effect of water vapor was suspected to be significant it was -not- modelled very accurately or at all in climate scenarios. Now we need to learn more because we want it to rain, not to get cyclones or tornado’s, no huge hailstones etc. We will have to get a grip on weather as well as the climate.

Hailstorms should also be triggerable but more on that another time.

Making Water with Wind

Or how banks killed a perfectly good water solution

In 2013 I first wrote about a company called “Dutch Rainmaker” that developed a wind turbine that generates water from the air by cooling it. It grew out of a science environment into a demo and soon there where several small turbines running in Holland making thousands of liters of water every day.

You may wonder “where is the company now?”. The answer is nowhere, or at least not in any way making products and selling them. The reason is the reason why so many other companies got “killed” or “frozen” in the years I tracked them, because BANKS want CASHFLOW. In this case the invention was a direct threat to RO desalination systems.

Below a video of the early system, which was an electric turbine that powered a compressor and cooling system that cooled the air until water condensed out of it.

Early dutch rainmaker in action

I tracked this company which is by now quite old, as was its original owner, the inventor. the above design was quite simple, so the turbine and tower cost about 10.000 Euro to setup. A perfect product to spread rapidly acrosse the globe. However this was not to be.

The first principle we have to accept is that if banks get a chance they will kill low cashflow products. This they can do in many ways, by underinvesting, by overinvesting, by injectnig a shit CEO, by putting the patent in an inactive company. Any way that gets the original owner to give up control over the idea. This is not a conspiracy theory, this is simply good business sense for BANKS, who don’t care about humanity as a whole.

Later itteration of the Dutch Rainmaker

As you can see in the video above the device has become more complicated. Rather than an electric generator the nacelle now contains multiple hydraulic pumps that are driven by a friction wheel. Many parts that can break or leak. How does this happen? Well, the maker has to be able to patent something to gain investors. And a conventional turbine is not patentable (in this context). So there are two options : The market ignores the product completely (with some help from investors/banks) or the inventor makes the product patentable. The utility of the product does not matter. Banks don’t care about humanity.

Herre Rost van Tonningen. pointing to his project in South America

I tracked this company and in 2016 I decided to visit (and was allowed) the office that had moved to the high North of Holland. There I spoke to Herre Rost van Tonningen (never asked if he was related) who showed me his setup. Now there where hydraulic pumps in the nacelle, and on the ground the pressure was used to drive Reverse Osmosis pumps!! A completely different concept. Allinged with what banks like though, not disrupting the RO/desalination market!

Looking at the RO setup. It has to be said hydraulic pumps are cheap!

Herre explained he was going to demo his version on a South American island because water is much more expensive there (see economic motive, maximizing cashflow for banks). I don’t know what happened to it. Will try to find out.

The Solteq turbine, now probably broken down.

But what happened to the real Dutch Rainmaker? Well, its idea and related patents are owned by a company called “Rainmaker Worldwide” which has a nice website. There is a penny stock called RAKR worth $0.0025 today.

The company announced its going to cooperate with Mirand Water (purification) systems, which does work for the below companies (so we’re talking toxic waste water treatment). Furthermore there are changes to the company structure and ownership. What is not happening is the construction and deployment of Dutch Rainmakers to provide cheap water to farmers and other people around the world using a low cost barely patentable system. Reverse Osmosis which requires high pressure and energy, and thus causes high cashflow, has been protected.

Unless you build one yourself of course! Who wants to? Send an email to frits@rincker.nl

Barium Sulfate Paint

https://gizmodo.com/worlds-whitest-paint-can-now-be-used-to-cool-cars-and-p-1849613597

https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1010&context=cpl_techniquesinstruments

https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acsami.1c02368

https://www.sci.news/othersciences/materials/whitest-paint-09570.html

The Nitrogen that is Hydrogen

Nitrogen, its the common name for several nitrogen compounds used in farming. Ammonium Nitrate is one of them. There’s a whole discussion going on about the massive release of ammonia by intensive farm animals, as the cows and pigs break down protein (nitrogen compounds) and release urea (CO(NH₂)₂), into the environment. This overnourishes plants and poisons the ground water.

Hiding in all this obfuscating language is energy, a hydrogen based fuel, ammonia NH3, a powdered fuel (fertilizer) all because the banks want to keep profiting of the cashflow of fertilizer generation from natural gas, because they like the cashflow from Soy shipment from brazil, because they like the cashflow from meat production in Holland, even though we export 6 out of 7 kilo of meat we produce.

To make sure the urea doesn’t get reused its mixed with manure, to create ‘digistaat’ a very wet manure that is then put into biogas reactors where it functions in another cashflow charade : Making methane from manure. This is not happening in those biogas tanks, what is happening is the digestion of sugar in both manure and a large quantity of added biomass. ‘Over production’ of the intensive farming industry, white listed to be added. The sugar is turned into methane, the methane can be turned into fertilizer. I have called this the revalorization of methane. But the overproduction is done for the pleasure of BANKS.

Because most crops are grown to feed cattle, we can identify a pyramid of dependency where the intensive crop farming will defend itself against becoming more organic because it is necessary for the meat industry, but all the while the driving force is the cashflow and gas consumption the methods of farming and system of increasing the value of crops by turning them into meat creates. The valuable urea is meanwhile dumped in the ground water and an environmental and health hazard to people. Screw people! Cashflow is more important!

Now we have a diesel shortage. It turns out that both urea and fertilizer are essentialy hydrogen fuels. The are Nitrogen/Hydrogen compounds. Ammonia burns a lot like diesel, you can use it as fuel almost without changes to the engine. What about fertilizer?

“Cars already on the road can use ammonia as an additive without modification (up to 10%) and flex cars could be, according to Fleming, easily modified to use ammonia in conjunction with ethanol, allowing for a mixture of 85% ammonia.” (source)

I have not tried it but I would think you can just add ammonium nitrate to gasoline. According to the chemical formula it will not combust or explode on its own. We all know it likes to explode, so does gasoline. An engine is the perfect place to explode fertilizer!

2NH4NO3 + 3C7H16 + 14O2 —> 2N2O + 6H2O + 7CO2 + 16H2

(source GPT3, of course this needs to be verified to be sure)

I wonder if anyone tried this. Ammonia does not burn as easy as gasoline, but maybe in the mix it does. If you know anyone that has tried this or wants to try it, let me know!

Tesla Semi Car Truck Concept

A Tesla Semi electric truck can tow about 80.000 lbs (pound). That is about 30 car weighs worth. In theory you could load 30 cars onto one Semi and haul it 500 miles or 800 km through Europe, which is about 1/3ths the way to Italy. A single car trailer only has a 5 car capacity, so you could tow about 5 of them behind one Semi, towing 25 cars. They would have baggage aboard of course.

You could use a small cabin right behind the semi as the passenger compartment. This would have to have 100 seats at least. You would get a road train that would stretch for at least 50 meters. But it would be efficient and bring people to their holiday destination with a lot less energy wasted than when they would drive their ICE cars.

It seems we’d need to design special trailers, because many assume to be single trailer situations..

The emissions from trucks are 20% of total emissions, and they are very dirty. It is thus very important to replace those trucks with electric vehicles

So one trailer for people, 5 for cars, regular stops every 3 hours or so, charging near Turin or Switzerland (hydropower?) and arriving in Italy, South of France or Spain safely and rested. Do we still need rail?

The War Between Villagers and City slickers

Wait, what? Another war? We don’t need another war! This may be your first response to the title above. That title is however more the core of many of today’s cultural conflicts, and I will try to defend that view in a few paragraphs below..

Villages are small, by definition, people know each other, the pace is not very fast, there is a language everyone speaks, there are annual festivities everyone attends or is part of. You can go to France or Belgium or Holland and find many towns, villages which still have this tradition. The people often need each other to make the situation work. This creates a mentality and a culture that is usually more uniform, and you are expected to join in or be an outcast, which is an untenable situation in a small community. The principle is “We are all the same, we follow the same rules”. In the towns around Paris you find the same people in the cafe in the morning to get a cup of coffee, they then go do their farmer jobs. In other places community is sought in the evening. This is still happening all over the world. If you want to break down the mentality it is:

  • We are all the same
  • We follow one set of rules
  • We don’t like people that deviate
  • Together we make the village work

When life is very practical, when it just consists of work needing to be done, all very obvious, which is the farmers life mostly, then if you talk about anything else you must be confused or lazy or trying to take a break or something. This is a gross simplification, but this logic is also found in companies which cultivate the same mentality. It is also found in religions.

Cities are different. They are too big to create a stable community. You live in a place that is quite anonymous, its rented or bought but then the doors look much the same. If you go out into the street there are masses of people that you don’t know and you have no interest in. You compete for jobs, opportunities, you don’t care if others behave differently. In cities there are many that have created a community, but it is more vitual. So a religious group has a church, they come together there, that’s where they are the village, and there they find their equals and live by the rules. Others go to cafe’s or music venues to find their ‘kin’, and one person can be part of many ‘villages’ at the same time. Say a student that is part of a band and also plays basketbal is part of several disjoint groups, where each have completely different mentality and priorities.

Its not to say a person in a village can’t be part of different subgroups as well, but its all a bit more stale and he/she will be known in all groups.

My thought is that we constantly have wars between villagers and city dwellers. We constantly see a group of people that says “We are all the same” and then another group that says “Nope, I am different and like to stay that way”. You could say Putin likes his country to be a uniform village, but Ukraine is not interested, it likes to be part of the pluriform West.

The division occured to me when I contemplated religions. Some have come from a desire to be uniform, others from a desire to make a pluriform society work. If you want to have a uniform society you punish people for deviating. If you want to make a pluriform society work you don’t. Older religions are village religions, they developed before big cities existed. I would say the innovation of Christianity, to not be super judgemental all the time, but to forgive could be seen as an innovation, even though the cities where not big at the time.

Every time you hear a person say “we have to treat xyz this way and no other” and its about some issue in society, its a group that has created an internal village dynamic that has gone to war with the complexity of city life. The diversity of humanity and society in the world does not fit one size.

When protest broke out at Foxconn this week, I tweeted

“If China and Iran and Russia correct themselves and punish the abusers and allow the protesters to be heard they will evolve into better states. Nobody would have stolen from them, they would not be enslaved or servant of any other nation, they would simply be better.” (on Twitter)

Totalitarianism is the pinnacle of village mentality. One law, one behaviour, one leader, simplistic, unnecessary uniformity which evokes resistance that then needs to be suppressed. China is actively working on it with their social scoring, and I have written about how this will petrify China and make it incapable to come up with new ideas to deal with new challenges.

Luckily the Xi government relented somewhat. The way the Covid ‘police’ was charging in full protective gear with transparent shields like roman soldiers looked insane. The people where very honest and frankly sweet, saying they had born all the harsh measures. People burned in their homes because the Xi government sealed their doors with iron wire or by welding them shut. It is good the protest had effect.

As a city dweller I don’t care about much of what people do or say, but I do care about them if I can. I don’t expect anyone to tell me what is right or wrong or how I should behave, and I don’t tell anyone else (maybe my upstairs neighbor if he makes a lot of noise). It can go to the extreme, where people really don’t care for each other. I think that is a job for the local government to make a city work like a village just enough so people feel good, but not so much that they start telling others how to live.

Of course people like to be with like minded others, so that’s why they live in certain neighborhoods, suburbs, closed communities. The point I tried to make here is that its about one’s expectation of others. Some expect uniformity where its not necessary or logical out of mental habit. This drives resistance which is then seen as even a bigger problem. Of course a hard line villager knows that his/her way works and may not want to try anything else, or want others to try anything else. That is where the problem starts. There is more than one road to Rome.

If it comes to religion I think theres a benefit to the relatively mellow attitude of Christianity, but even that religion has been abused by totalitarian minds. In the US the intolerance towards female reproductive freedom is almost medieval. Where did it come from? From large uniform communities that do not care for people that deviate from their norm.

In the end there’s not much one can do about people so used to uniformity that they see it as the one right way to have a society. The only way to deal with it is get away from them or perhaps accept to change. With some religions accepting means giving up a lot. No religion has any fundamental right to determine how anyone lives, but sadly people will try to enforce indoctrination. The war will continue until there are either no more cities or only cities.

Een Oplossing Voor Gasbeving Schade?

Aardbevingen door aardgas winning hebben vele huizen in het Noorden van Nederland beschadigd, en dreigen dat met vele meer te doen. Mensen wachten eindeloos op geld om hun huis te versterken of willen gecompenseerd worden voor een door verzakking en barsten minder waardevol huis. Het blijkt moeilijk dit geld los te krijgen, er wordt steeds uitstel veroorzaakt.

Het werd gepresenteerd als dé methode die het tij zou keren: de dorpenaanpak. Maar het project kent een valse start. Waar vorige maand al bouwvakkers moesten werken, staat nu een gefrustreerde bewoner.” (bron)

Het werk dat gedaan moet worden is structureel herstel of versterking van hele dorpen, zoals bv. in de dorpen aanpak wordt beloofd. Dat kost veel mankracht, veel energie, machines enz. Bouwers zijn ondanks de Stikstof crisis erg schaars. Zelfs een loodgieter is haast niet te vinden. Dit kan oa komen door de grote toename van verhuur investeringen, die meestal gepaard gaan met renovaties. Dit maakt de markt een lastige plek om stabiel bouw projecten te organiseren.

Wat een beter idee is is om te zorgen dat de kosten van de reparaties en versterkingen worden gedekt door energie opbrengsten. Dit kan bv. door een deel van een windpark te kopen, of een zonneweide of drijvend zonnepark aan te leggen (hint : De MarkermeerZonnecentrale.nl). De bewoners van het getroffen gebied kunnen ook zelf meer energie opwekken, uit het budget bedoelt om de schade te herstellen.

Door dat te doen kunnen de kosten van jaren lange werkzaamheden gedekt worden. Er zou een speciaal bedrijf kunnen worden opgericht, waar de energie inkomsten instromen, en die de werkzaamheden uitvoert.

Er zijn tegenwoordig electrische graafmachines en heimachines, pompen en hydraulische stutten enz. Die zijn veel efficienter dan de diesel variant, dus voor hetzelfde energie budget kun je veel meer doen. De mensen die het werk uitvoeren kunnen net zoals wanneer voor de BAM werken of Rijkswaterstaat bij wegen aanleg continu doorwerken aan verschillende woningen in verschillende stadia van herstel.

Het hele proces zou een oefening in duurzaamheid gemaakt moeten worden. Cement kan worden gerecycled bv. bakstenen, zandgrond. Zoveel mogelijk moet lokaal gedaan worden, zo min mogelijk op de kapitaal intensieve manier die het vaak deed lijken dat een project meer voor de brandstof omzet werd uitgevoerd dan voor het resultaat.

Waar energie nodig is, ook bv de energie die de werkers zelf thuis nodig hebben om er warm bij te zitten, moet die zoveel mogelijk worden opgewekt en niet uit fossiel gas, olie of hout stook in centrales komen. Zo blijft zelfs als de herstel werkzaamheden klaar zijn, de capaciteit over om nog meer werk te verzetten tegen zeer lage kosten.

Is Gender Fluidity a result of Environmental Toxins

It seems likely. There’s several studies

An endocrine disrupting chemical, bisphenol A: could it be associated with sex differentiation in brain regarding to transsexuality?”

Transsexuality presume a combination of a genetic background and an early effect on interaction of sex hormones with developing brain during critical foetal period. We hypothesize that exposure to BPA may be a cause for transsexualism.

Gestational exposure to phthalates and gender-related play behaviors in 8-year-old children: an observational study

Higher maternal urinary MEP concentrations during pregnancy were associated with more typical gender-related play behaviors in both males and females, and increased urinary MiBP concentrations were associated with less masculine gender-related play behaviors in males. (more female?)

Teen hormones being altered by gender-bending chemicals

Members of the ECA committee warned that BPA can disrupt the body’s endocrine system, which is the collection of glands that produce hormones.

Maternal bisphenol A (BPA) decreases attractiveness of male offspring

Authors show that maternal consumption of low levels of dietary BPA renders male offspring at a disadvantage for mating, not only because of poorer spatial navigation and greater anxiety-like behavior but also because they are less attractive to female conspecifics

There are many more studies on relationships between endocrine disruptors, fertility, vaginal cancer, diabetes, its all bad.